UPDATE 930 AM EST
YOUTUBE VIDEO ADDED BELOW
Wednesday December 28th
Christmas is over Santa is gone and its time to ring in 2017. Models last couple of days have been hinting at a LARGE Atlantic Swell Event coming and looks like swell generation to start up in about 5-6 days. This is last nights run of the EURO DAY 8 GFS starting to come on board. Still some uncertainty.
We have been talking about “Weather Weirding” last couple of updates. It continues, and as advertised last update pattern shift still looks to be coming after the first of the year opening the door for a switch from this RARE ESE trade swell that continues this morning to more of a Northerly Swell component. What continues to draw our attention is these LARGE anomalous areas of High Pressure. One right after another. And its just not in the Atlantic, the Pacific is experiencing it now as well. How would this be for weird. 2016 saw RARE January Hurricane Alex. Two years in a row ?
Will cut a Youtube video forecast update later this morning so check back for the update on the extended period with what looks like Da Boom coming.
For now, get what you can next couple of days as a mini flat spell looks to set in before this next event sets up. ESE trade swell looks to continue next 24-48 hours or so.
NE Bahamas showing secondary pulse. Had dropped to 3 Feet from pulse generated the other day and is now back up to 5 Feet ESE Swell 10 seconds this morning.
South Bermuda Buoy hinting at things to come. From 0 to 7 -10 Feet more importantly NE instead of ESE. Hang in there PR and Islands its coming in the extended period however you will still have to deal with ESE winds.
Latest NOAA 48HR swell forecast showing fresh rotation of ESE swell from High Pressure sliding out towards the East Atlantic. Multiple days offshore winds Mid-ATLC through NE kicking off the mini flat spell mentioned above before this next Possible LARGE Atlantic Swell Event coming.
Grays Reef is back up above 3 Feet showing some flash 10 second periods redeveloping. Watching for trend.
UPDATE 5:30 AM EST
Wednesday December 28th
Didn’t get a chance to cut a video yesterday. They are building a house next door and the video would have a constant BOOM BOOM in the background.
NE Bahamas Buoy showing a nice pulse of swell energy this morning and looks to have maxed near 8 feet of ESE swell height. Without the East Canaveral it is hard to gauge how much is out there. Move up to the Paul West Bermuda and moderate WSW winds 20Kts have developed and looks like its trying to come up a bit 4 feet ESE 10 seconds.
Latest NOAA swell forecast continues to show pulse of ESE swell heading towards the SE U.S. Coast next 24 hours or so. The pulse above is a positive. We have begun monitoring the data on Checkthewaves.com for the first time. Although a fan of everything they are doing as a forecaster I want to see it coming from afar verses arrival on the beach. Here’s their location map on buoy locations.
Check’em out tell’em you heard it from DaBuh.
Models continue in the overnight hinting at a Large Atlantic Swell Event coming.
Below is the 00Z EURO DAYS 5-6-7
This is flow and fetch. Southerly Flow into GOMEX. Increasing Southerly wind swell. NNE Flow dropping South and the backside of Bermuda and Anomalous 1040 MB High North Atlc creating Easterly wind and fetch. The further the fetch can develop from a line South of Newfoundland over to Portugal puts more ocean aimed at this direction.
DAY 6 NNE flow coming off NF behind GALE/POSSIBLE Storm 988MB
DAY 7 Double Barrel Low
Stay tuned for the video update. Will let the models cycle one more time.
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HERE’S THE VIDEO UPDATE BEST WATCHED IN FULL SCREEN