VIDEO UPDATE ADDED BELOW
MONDAY SEPT 26 2016
KAR-ULL SWELL INFO POSTED BELOW
KAR-ULL on the move possible hurricane conditions for Bermuda then its on to the North Atlantic with a POSSIBLE X-TREME EVENT COMING in the far extended forecast. After backing off showing absolutely nothing in yesterdays afternoon run the EURO is back on overnight. For those who saw our tweet that We had ?’s what trails behind soon to be 97L INVEST can sometimes lead to model confusion heres your example. This is last nights run +240 10 days. Ancient Rainbow Warrior sign Fo Da Clean-Ah Fish coming as possible and or NIH-KOHL. Another Atlantic Fish Storm ? coming to clean the reefs out for season change. If model verifies (THIS IS ONE RUN WITH 10 DAYS TO GO THE MODEL WILL CHANGE NOTHING IN WEATHER ABSOLUTE UNTIL IT HAPPENS IN REAL-TIME)
From what could be MATH-YOO’s position there are only two choices in track,Up or Over. Lots of time to watch will have a video update later today. Waiting for the right moment in the imagery.
The window is beginning to shorten and the entire envelope of soon to be tagged 97L INVEST now over the East Atlantic.Da Clean-Ah Fish and or NIH-KOHL. This is where the model confusion came in. For those who recall the GFS had back to back runs of lifting Low Pressure over PR a few runs once over Hispaniola following in KAR-ULL’s wake.24HR change National Hurricane Center. Now has soon to be 97L INVEST passing through the Islands next 5 days at WITCH TIME it is becoming increasingly clear that a tropical cyclone will likely develop once out of the influence of Easterly Trade which can disrupt flow if a system is not well organized as it comes under land interaction passing through the Islands. Agian, lots of time to watch. Be aware of people who have no clue what they are talking about posting images on social media of a MAJOR HURRICANE making Landfall here or there. TO SOON FOR THAT. Since the beginning models started to pick up on the system there have MODEL landfall locations from Central Amerika to New England. NO JOKE. KAR-ULL is a perfect example. National Hurricane Center showed Hurricane, Hurricane, Hurricane, and he’s still not a Hurricane. For the non surfing, non mariner community, stay tuned for the video update later today.We will post it below once we cut it. As for X-Treme Event ? October a month of Ghost and Monsters. So far models showing Ghost by developing and not developing and models also show a Monster.
KAR-ULL SWELL UPDATE
6:15 AM EST SATURDAY SEPT 24th 2016
Main wave energy of KAR-ULL just pushing up on the Indicator Buoys. These Buoys are the NE Bahamas and both Bermuda’s. From back to front. South Bermuda buoy now cut off from KAR-ULL’s ESE Swell as swell direction begins to rotate. Buoy looks to have peaked last 12hrs 12 Feet.
Tropical Storm LEE-SUH Swell inbound to the buoy next couple of days.NE Bahamas buoy 5 Feet 11 seconds. Buoy has had a couple of 6 foot postings and we are likely at max may see it come up a bit however.Paul West Bermuda with the most at 8 feet and may also be at max here as well.I’ve heard several times the word hype being thrown around in reference to our original forecast and surf turning out smaller than anticipated. Will refer those back to above. National Hurricane Center showed Hurricane, Hurricane, Hurricane and KAR-ULL is a Tropical Storm which leads to smaller surf conditions than anticipated. Still fun waves yesterday. Going back for round two this morning. 911Surfreport.com
Remember just cause it aint breaking at your house doesnt mean its not breaking at someone elses.
Stay tuned for the video update here in this post later today.
NOAA 96HR Swell forecast LEE-SUH Swell combining with leftover KAR-ULL Swell next 4 days.
Buoy Watch Remains in Effect.
LATEST VIDEO UPDATE 97L INVEST POSSIBLE MATH-YOO
8PM EST MONDAY SEPT 26th 2016
VIDEO BEST IN FULL SCREEN