Low Pressure Developing Out Towards Bermuda

Here’s the latest update on Low Pressure developing out towards Bermuda. This will open up a nice NE Fetch over the next 24-48 hours. This has turned into more of a wind swell event vs groundswell as High pressure pushes down on the backside of the Low. Heres this mornings imagery showing consolidation point out towards Bermuda on Monday. Image taken around 10:30 AM EST June 18th.2016-06-18_112656Heres the latest 48HR Surface forecast out of the National Hurricane Center. Development into a Tropical Low not anticipated at this time.2016-06-18_083918The indicator buoy’s for this event is the South Hatteras and the Paul West Bermuda although Northerly surge well under way along the coast from Diamond Shoals NC currently, ENE 25-30KTS, down into Grays Reef, currently NE-20-25KTS. Winds are just starting to turn on the South Hatteras Buoy coming out of the North at around 10-15Kts. Its swell direction that we are monitoring for the NE turn. Thats when the beef of this swell event gets going.
2016-06-18_113747Latest 48HR Swell forecast showing some 8-10 second plus NE Swell developing.2016-06-18_114038Zoomed in look at what should be enough punch to make it into SOFLO for a couple of days. A welcome RARE relief for June.2016-06-18_114330
Seas look to max out just over 10 Feet however over a wide area putting a decent amount of NE wind swell in the water.2016-06-18_114740
Latest wind forecast for Tuesday and winds go offshore from the OBX North still light onshore for Cent Fla into SOFLO. With hopefully light offshores for NE Florida. The two red arrows looks to be the beginning of a prolonged Easterly trade wind swell developing.2016-06-18_120132We will have more on that in the next update. Models continue to show a 1030MB OMEGA High developing out in the N-Cent-Atlc that could sit for multiple days. In addition a couple of Low Pressure areas that could put some pinch in the gradient increasing wind and swell heights. Image for next Friday.
2016-06-18_120816This should lead to an extended period of ride-able surf coming for most of the U.S. Eastcoast at some point. More on that in the next update. Want to let the models cycle a few more times before we update on this portion of the forecast. In other news we now have 94L INVEST located across the YUKE into the Bay of C.2016-06-18_084703National Hurricane Center now at 40% chance of development next 5 days. Main threat possible heavy rains into the TEX/MEX region.

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