Today’s report brought to you by Campbell’s Soup. All the ingredients for the Primordial Soup are now in the kettle. All the brouhaha over this significant coastal event the last several days looks to be coming together quite nicely this morning.
First Update At Bottom of the Thread
As you lean over the kettle to get that first look of what’s in store, we give you the song of the day for your listening pleasure.
I see a bad moon arising.
I see there’s trouble on the way.
I see earthquakes and lightnin’.
I see bad times today.
Don’t go around tonight,
Well, it’s bound to take your life,
There’s a bad moon on the rise.
As the song says, looks like we’re in for nasty weather. Recent satellite imagery shows heavy rains beginning to train into the coastal regions.
As we look further South the Tropical Forecast Branch is now calling for an area of low pressure to develop in the Bahamas’ in the vicinity of Elbow Key in about 72 hours.
As you can see convection is building in this region, specifically over the Florida Keys. This is one area will we be monitoring a little closer once the visible sat images become more available.
In the overnight model runs not much change. The Navy NOGAPS is now on board with the GFS. The CMC has relatively the same set up as it showed yesterday. The day they pretty much agree on is Wednesday. The three move an area of low pressure over NE Florida.
In addition, the Tropical Forecast Branch is also calling for Gale Force Winds to develop in about 72 hours well East of the Central Florida coast line with seas building as high as 18 feet.
Check the comment section for additional info and check back later for the next update as we monitor this event as it continues to unfold.
UPDATE 9:22 a.m.
The words being used over the last several days has been lots of uncertainty in the forecast. Now that the sun is up and we get a better look, the GOMEX has now caught our eye. For all of the loop watchers here’s the first area to keep an eye on. Although winds shear is high at this time we are seeing some rotation over the GOMEX.
Here’s a more broader view
We may see something try and develop off the SW Florida Coastline. Here’s a loop to keep an eye on.